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September 21, 2023

Awards Update: Making Sense of the Fall Festival Frenzy

The first phase of the race has officially started

August 11, 2023

Awards Update: Fall Festivals Are Upon Us

Some predictions can be written in pen, while others still should be done lightly in pencil.

*These rankings only reflect the likelihood of being Oscar-nominated.*

Last Updated: 09/21/2023          Next Update: 10/26/2023

1
Oppenheimer
2
Killers of the Flower Moon
3
Poor Things
4
The Holdovers
5
Maestro
6
Barbie
7
Anatomy of a Fall
8
Past Lives
9
The Color Purple
10
The Zone of Interest

Best Picture

1
Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
2
Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon)
3
Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things)
4
Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest)
5
Alexander Payne (The Holdovers)

Best Director

1
The Holdovers (David Hemingson)
2
Past Lives (Greta Lee)
3
Barbie (Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach)
4
Anatomy of a Fall (Justine Triet & Arthur Harari)
5
Maestro (Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer)

Best Original Screenplay

1
Killers of the Flower Moon (Martin Scorsese & Eric Roth)
2
Oppenheimer (Christopher Nolan)
3
Poor Things (Tony McNamara)
4
All of Us Strangers (Andrew Haigh)
5
American Fiction (Cord Jefferson)

Best Adapted Screenplay

1
Bradley Cooper (Maestro)
2
Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)
3
Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon)
4
Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
5
Colman Domingo (Rustin)

Best Lead Actor

1
Carey Mulligan (Maestro)
2
Emma Stone (Poor Things)
3
Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall)
4
Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)
5
Annette Bening (Nyad)

Best Lead Actress

1
Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)
2
Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)
3
Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)
4
Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
5
Colman Domingo (The Color Purple)

Best Supporting Actor

1
Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
2
Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)
3
Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)
4
Viola Davis (Air)
5
Penélope Cruz (Ferrari)

Best Supporting Actress

1
Oppenheimer (Hoyte van Hoytema)
2
Killers of the Flower Moon (Rodrigo Prieto)
3
Poor Things (Robbie Robertson)
4
Maestro (Matthew Libatique)
5
The Color Purple (Dan Lausten)

Best Cinematography

1
Oppenheimer (Jennifer Lame)
2
Killers of the Flower Moon (Thelma Schoonmaker)
3
Poor Things (Yorgos Mavropsaridis)
4
The Holdovers (Kevin Tent)
5
Maestro (Michelle Tesoro)

Best Film Editing

1
Oppenheimer (Ludwig Göransson)
2
Killers of the Flower Moon (Robbie Robertson)
3
The Boy and the Heron (Joe Hisaishi)
4
Poor Things (Jerskin Fendrix)
5
The Killer (Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross)

Best Original Score

1
Oppenheimer
2
Napoleon
3
The Color Purple
4
Killers of the Flower Moon
5
The Killer

Best Sound

1
Poor Things
2
Killers of the Flower Moon
3
Barbie
4
Oppenheimer
5
The Color Purple

Best Production Design

1
Poor Things
2
Barbie
3
Killers of the Flower Moon
4
The Color Purple
5
Napoleon

Best Costume Design

1
Maestro
2
Poor Things
3
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
4
Barbie
5
Wonka

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

1
Oppenheimer
2
The Creator
3
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
4
Napoleon
5
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Best Visual Effects

1
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
2
The Boy and the Heron
3
Chicken Run: Dawn of the Nugget
4
Elemental
5
TMNT: Mutant Mayhem

Best Animated Feature

1
The Zone of Interest (UK)
2
The Teacher's Lounge (Germany)
3
The Taste of Things (France)
4
Perfect Days (Japan)
5
Fallen Leaves (Finland)

Best International Feature

1
Beyond Utopia
2
Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
3
The Eternal Memory
4
20 Days in Mariupol
5
The Deepest Breath

Best Documentary Feature

1
Killers of the Flower Moon (12)
2
Oppenheimer (11)
3
Poor Things (11)
4
The Color Purple (8)
5
Maestro (7)
6
Barbie (6)
7
The Holdovers (6)
8
Anatomy of a Fall (3)
9
The Zone of Interest (3)
10
Napoleon (3)

Nomination Leaders

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